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UFC San Diego |+ Money Moves & Jay’s Betting Picks

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This Saturday, the UFC touches down in San Diego, California for the first time in seven years, as top Bantamweights clash in the headliner of the evening. “Chito” Vera is riding a three fight winning streak coming into his bout with Dominick Cruz, who has looked impressive in his last two outings.

The San Diego card itself is littered with extremely intriguing match-ups, none more than the Strawweight bout between two women on similar trajectories, Jauregui and Lucindo. With intriguing match-ups coming just as equally as fascinating betting lines. Let’s look at some of the + money bets that I personally like the look of. In no way is this betting advice. These are just my individual picks for the night, please gamble responsibly.

Ariane Lipski by decision (+155)

(Credit: Sherdog.com)

Originally, this bout between Lipski and Cachoeira was scheduled to take place at UFC Vegas 59 and was set to be a flyweight bout, but due to Lipski missing weight and being deemed medically unfit, the bout was pulled and subsequently rescheduled for this weekend. With the bout having now being set as a Bantamweight bout, and despite Lipski being deemed medically unfit just a week ago, I feel this now favours “The Queen Of Violence”. Last weeks card saw 10 finishes out of 10 fights, something I’m almost positive we won’t see this time round, and I like the +155 of Lipski to get it done by decision. Although the 28-year-old has finished nine of her 14 wins, her last two losses have came by way of KO, so conservative fighting might be something we see in this one. I’m also keeping my eye on Lipski by submission at +575 as she has a dangerous submission game.

Josh Quinlan by TKO/KO (+123)

(Credit: MMAFighting.com)

Another bout that we’ve had to wait an additional week for is Josh Quinlan vs Jason Witt. “The Maverick” Quinlan was pulled from his bout last week due to producing a drug test that was found to have traces of dehydrochloromethyltestosterone, but the amount didn’t lead to a anti-doping violation. This wasn’t the first time he’s produced a positive test whilst being with the UFC, as his Contender Series win over Urban was overturned for another positive test, but that one leading to a nine month suspension.

Quinlan is coming into his full UFC debut off the back of five professional bouts, all finishing inside the distance. All eight of Witt’s losses on the flip side have also came inside the distance, making a Quinlan victory inside the distance looking quite likely. With the price for that only sitting at -141, I like the look of Quinlan by KO at +123 as Witt is susceptible to being knocked out.

Cynthia Calvillo by decision (+140)

Despite Cynthia Calvillo coming in off the back of three losses, there’s nothing that makes me edge towards Nina Nunes in this match-up. Nunes is making the move up to Flyweight, hoping to find a home, and some form at 125lbs. Calvillo may be looking to make this one of her last fights in the Flyweight division, having lost her last three.

Nina Nunes, the wife of the champion, Amanda, has stayed with ATT even after Amanda made the decision to part ways with them. She described during the media day that she has been splitting her time between ATT and training at home with Amanda. This is something that could prove costly in her bout with Calvillo. With it being Nunes’ first fight in the division, I see Calvillo posing a tough test for her, but not tough enough that she gets her out of there in the distance. Even though this is a fight i’d probably steer clear of, a Cynthia decision is something I’d back if I were to be at +140.

Which + money selections at UFC San Diego will be entering your slip?

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SEAN O’MALLEY GETS THE ALL CLEAR TO BOX BY UFC

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The whirlwind surrounding Ryan Garcia’s victory over Devin Haney last weekend is just beginning to settle down but it seems the controversial boxer is intent on staying in the headlines as he eyes UFC champion, Sean O’Malley.

The bizarre lead up to the fight with Haney was plagued with erratic behaviour on Garcia’s part, rumours of a mental breakdown, signs of alcohol and drug issues, and  generally controversial behaviour. Garcia missed weight by 3.2lbs, and appeared to chug a beer on the scales during the weigh ins. 

Entering the fight as an underdog, Garcia surprised everybody by dropping Haney three times and emerging victorious by majority decision. After the fight, Garcia insisted he  drank and smoked every day in the build up to the fight and still picked up the win. This  shocking turn of events has now opened up a variety of possible lucrative match ups for Garcia going forward, and it seems one MMA superstar wants a piece of that action. 

The UFC hasn’t sanctioned a boxing crossover bout since Conor McGregor faced Floyd Mayweather back in 2017. ‘Suga’ Sean O’Malley has long campaigned for the  opportunity to test his striking skills against Garcia, and this week on his podcast The Timbo Sugar Show, he insisted that the UFC have already given him the green light to  seek out some opportunities in the boxing ring: 

A boxing fight’s possible for sure. I’m not there yet. I’ve still got to become bigger. Two  more f*cking sick performances, then we’re talking about being able to do it. 

O’Malley continued: “They told me ‘You can do a boxing fight, 100 percent, if it makes us enough money’. The option is there, it just has to be able to make enough money. But Ryan being a f*cking freak like that, you need two A-sides to make a f*cking Floyd v Conor fight”. 

Ryan Garcia tweeted an image of himself and O’Malley this week with the caption: “RAINBOW CACA BRAIN. WANTS TO BOX. BE PREPARED TO BLEED RAINBOW” 

Sean O’Malley became the UFC’s bantamweight champion when he knocked out Aljamain Sterling at UFC 292 last August. He then defended the belt and avenged the only loss on  his record when he dominated Marlon Vera over five rounds at UFC 299 in March.

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ALEX PEREIRA REJECTS FIGHT WITH MAGOMED ANKALAEV

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The next step in the fascinating UFC journey of Alex Pereira remains to be seen. ‘Poatan’ pulled off a sensational knockout finish over Jamahal Hill in the first round of their main  event bout at UFC 300 to defend his light heavyweight belt. 

Credit: MMA Fighting

In his post-fight interview, the Brazilian called for the opportunity to compete at  heavyweight at UFC 301 which takes place in Rio De Janeiro in just a couple of weeks. UFC president Dana White seemed unenthusiastic about that idea, however, and it  seems now that the dust has settled after 300, Pereira is a little more willing to take his  time before signing up for his next fight. 

In an interview with MMA Fighting’s Trocacao Franca podcast, Pereira was asked if he’d  rather defend his 205lb title again or test the waters in the heavyweight division. He responded: 

“It’s hard to answer that. I haven’t thought too much about it yet. If it’s a longer period of  time, I’d obviously rather defend my belt. If it takes too long and I fight at heavyweight  and there are injuries, when am I going to defend my belt? I don’t want to hold up the  division. 

I was imagining the best-case scenario when I called for a heavyweight fight at UFC 301,  but I have two broken toes. Both feet are f*cked. It’s complicated. I don’t want to hold up  the light heavyweight division. A cool scenario would have been fighting at heavyweight at 301 and then giving the opportunity to someone to fight for the light heavyweight belt  next. I think that would have been cool”. 

205lb contender Magomed Ankalaev has called for a fight with Pereira on the UFC’s  October pay-per-view card in Abu Dhabi, but ‘Poatan’ brushed that idea off instantly, saying: 

I don’t want to fight at the end of the year. I want to fight sooner, so maybe that shows  he won’t be ready. I don’t know why he said that. This guy is complicated”. 

If Pereira manages to get another win under his belt and is ready to go again before the  end of the year, he said he would much rather compete on the Madison Square Garden  event in November, which is closer to his current home in Danbury. 

“It makes total sense” he said. “Wait one more month and I’m fighting at home? It’s so much better”.

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“This Is A Stage I Have To Challenge On” – Masaaki Noiri Signs With ONE Championship

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ONE Championship’s striking roster has continued to flourish in 2024, and it got even stronger this week with the announcement of another elite kickboxer putting pen to paper in the world’s largest martial arts organization. Japanese megastar Masaaki Noiri has officially inked a deal with ONE, and he’s set to add further depth to the stand-up ranks. 

Noiri is a former two-division K-1 World Champion and Grand Prix Champion, and he’s also a former WBC Japanese Muay Thai Champion.

Fighting in ONE will allow him to switch between the two sports whenever he wants, and this is an exciting prospect for the 30-year-old.

“As ONE officially announced, I have signed a contract with ONE Championship, the highest stage for striking. If I want to pursue being the strongest in the world that I believe in, this is a stage I have to challenge on,” Noiri said. 

“I believe ONE is the ultimate stage for striking, so I wanted to challenge myself in that ring. I’m pursuing to be the strongest in the world through martial arts, so I chose this path to test if the current Masaaki Noiri can make it in ONE.”

It would be remiss of ONE’s hottest new signing not to have World Title ambitions as he embarks on his new journey. 

However, along with gold, Noiri’s looking to show the world what strikers from his country can do, and he hopes a world-class compatriot can help him in that mission.

“[My plan is] to definitely win the ONE world title,” Noiri said. 

“Not just me, but together with Takeru Segawa. And we’ll prove the strength of Japanese fighters to the world.”

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